Phenotype distribution modeling

Change in biomass of Andropogon gerardii due to climate change

Change in biomass of Andropogon gerardii due to climate change

Just accepted in Global Change Biology: our work extending the “species” distribution paradigm (which is so limited) to phenotype!  In short, we found that SDMs predicted widespread decline the prevalence of a dominant prairie plant while PDMs suggest that this decline will be matched by reductions in stature, biomass, and leaf width.  This has been a fun collaboration with Loretta Johnson, Jake Alsdurf, and Mary Knapp, and I’m looking forward to pushing more (climate) envelopes of the possible with them!

Smith, A.B., Alsdurf, J., Knapp, M. and Johnson, L.C.  Accepted.  Phenotypic distribution models corroborate species distribution models: A shift in the role and prevalence of a dominant prairie grass in response to climate change.  Global Change Biology. doi 10.1111/gcb.13666

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